{"runner":{"status":"enabled_bounded_focus_shift","version":"0.1","focus_key":"cr-e-0009-review-readiness-v1","schedule":"0 16 * * *","timezone":"UTC","execution_rule":"The scheduler checks daily, but this versioned focus key is attempted only once. 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It cannot create a canonical review, count as reproduction, promote CR-E-0009, or establish provider independence."},"items":[{"focus_shift_id":"CR-FS-0857A868EBC8","focus_key":"cr-e-0009-review-readiness-v1","run_date":"2026-10-18","target_record_id":"CR-E-0009","focus_version":"0.1","status":"completed_with_failures","target":{"title":"Token-order weight-stationary expert reuse audit","question":"Is the recorded CR-E-0009 simulation package ready to seek a genuinely independent rerun, or is there one repair that must come first?","canonical_refs":["CR-E-0009","CR-E-0007","CR-F-0004","CR-R-0002"],"evidence_class":"simulation_result","recorded_result":{"prompts_won":"18 of 18","preregistered_verdict":"PASS","families_with_positive_mean":"6 of 6","primary_capacity_slots_per_layer":8,"paired_95_percent_interval_percentage_points":[11.331742,19.141981],"online_minus_static_prompt_mean_percentage_points":14.846915},"source_revision":"f2f9a062282a10a587033123ece4d47e29e5267b","known_boundaries":["The route traces were reused from CR-E-0007 rather than freshly captured for this policy.","The result counts complete expert-module HBM fetch bytes under frozen policies; 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This is the single most consequential item on the requested-attacks list because it is not a scope-narrowing caveat like the HBM-bytes-only boundary — it is a methodological dependency that can inflate apparent robustness. If CR-E-0007's traces were generated or selected under assumptions tuned to a prior hypothesis (even unintentionally, via prompt selection, warm-up state, or token-order effects baked into that earlier capture), then CR-E-0009's 'independent' 18/18 win count is not 18 independent trials against this policy; it is 18 replays of a fixed, possibly non-representative sample. The docket supplies no evidence that trace reuse was checked for this risk — no resampling test, no comparison against freshly drawn traces, no documented rationale for why reuse preserves exchangeability with the claimed population of prompts.","disposition":"repair_before_reproduction","next_action":{"action":"Run the identical CR-E-0009 comparator pipeline on a freshly captured, independently drawn set of route traces (same prompt families, same preregistered capacity slots) and report the online-minus-static mean, paired interval, and per-prompt win count without altering the analysis code.","owner_role":"simulation_scientist","stop_condition":"Stop and escalate to repair once fresh-trace results are obtained and compared once; do not iterate trace draws seeking a match, as repeated redraws until agreement would itself introduce selection bias.","failure_criterion":"Fresh-trace mean falls outside the recorded interval, or win count drops materially (e.g. below 15/18), indicating the original result depended on properties specific to the reused CR-E-0007 traces.","success_criterion":"Fresh-trace mean falls within the recorded paired interval and win count remains at or near 18/18, indicating the reused traces were not an artifact-driving source.","evidence_to_collect":"Side-by-side table of fresh-trace results versus the recorded reused-trace results: mean percentage-point gap, 95% paired interval, and win count per prompt family."},"canonical_refs":["CR-E-0009","CR-E-0007"],"evidence_label":"simulation_result","strongest_issue":"Reuse of CR-E-0007 route traces risks analytic dependence: the 18/18 win rate and narrow CI may reflect properties of one fixed historical trace set rather than genuine generalization to the policy under test, and no check for this is recorded.","fresh_evidence_required":true,"what_this_does_not_prove":"This review does not establish latency, throughput, energy, or device-level feasibility; it does not constitute independent review or reproduction; and resolving the trace-reuse question does not validate the equal-capacity comparator's fairness or rule out oracle/order/state leakage, which remain separate open attacks."},"usage":{"input_tokens":2811,"output_tokens":1048,"total_tokens":3859},"estimated_cost_usd":0.016102,"failure_code":null,"created_at":"2026-10-18T16:00:17.589Z","completed_at":"2026-10-18T16:00:32.762Z","canonical_science":false},{"turn_id":"CR-FST-A6C27FDF0BAE","turn_sequence":2,"review_role":"independent_reproduction_design","agent_id":"google-crystalram-hosted-reproduction-2026-08-10","display_name":"Google hosted reproduction planner","voice_name":"The Protocol Builder","portrait":{"asset_url":"/assets/scientists/protocol-builder.webp","asset_sha256":"d302bd5d736aa70e42364c3712bdbf95fbaa35e950d82d4ffeed498331376e13","width":720,"height":720,"alt_text":"The Protocol Builder as a precision brass-and-obsidian automaton holding a luminous quartz test slide.","plain_english_rationale":"Gauges and a test slide represent explicit controls, predefined failure criteria, and fresh evidence before excitement.","chosen_by_agent":"google-crystalram-hosted-reproduction-2026-08-10","collection":"CrystalRAM scientist-chosen visual identities v1","visual_identity_boundary":"Scientist-chosen fictional project portrait; 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That reuse leaves analytic dependence unresolved for the policy-specific claim, so the package is not yet ready for handoff to a genuinely distinct reproducer. The cheapest bounded repair is one preregistered fresh-trace run through the unchanged CR-E-0009 comparator and analysis pipeline; it tests the identified dependency without expanding the claim beyond complete expert-module HBM fetch bytes.","disposition":"repair_before_reproduction","next_action":{"action":"Capture one newly drawn, policy-independent route-trace set under a predeclared capture protocol, then run the unchanged CR-E-0009 frozen equal-capacity comparator and analysis once on that set.","owner_role":"simulation_scientist","stop_condition":"Stop after one predeclared fresh capture and one unchanged-pipeline evaluation; do not redraw or tune captures to seek agreement.","failure_criterion":"Fresh-trace provenance or policy independence cannot be established, the comparator/analysis changes without documented justification, or no complete fresh-set result is produced.","success_criterion":"A single fresh capture is documented and evaluated without changing the comparator or analysis, producing a complete auditable result suitable for subsequent independent-reproduction handoff regardless of whether it agrees with the recorded result.","evidence_to_collect":"The capture protocol and provenance, confirmation that comparator and analysis code/settings were unchanged, and the fresh-set online-minus-static mean percentage-point gap, paired 95% interval, per-prompt outcomes, and family summaries alongside the recorded reused-trace values."},"canonical_refs":["CR-E-0009","CR-E-0007","CR-F-0004","CR-R-0002"],"evidence_label":"operational_recommendation","strongest_issue":"The 18/18 wins, 14.846915 percentage-point mean gap, and paired interval may be properties of the reused CR-E-0007 trace set rather than of the evaluated policy on newly captured routes; the snapshot supplies no fresh-trace confirmation or leakage audit.","fresh_evidence_required":true,"what_this_does_not_prove":"This operational recommendation does not establish that the recorded simulation advantage will replicate, that the comparator is fair, or that oracle, order, or cross-prompt-state leakage is absent. It does not establish latency, throughput, energy, contention, conversion, local-traffic, hardware, device, or physical-feasibility claims, and it is not independent review or reproduction."},"usage":{"input_tokens":1870,"output_tokens":523,"total_tokens":2393},"estimated_cost_usd":0.010016,"failure_code":null,"created_at":"2026-10-18T16:00:17.589Z","completed_at":"2026-10-18T16:00:50.293Z","canonical_science":false}],"created_at":"2026-10-18T16:00:17.589Z","completed_at":"2026-10-18T16:00:50.737Z","canonical_science":false,"independent_review":false,"reproduction":false,"boundary":"This shared-infrastructure shift can close an operational review question and assign a next test. It cannot create a canonical review, count as reproduction, promote CR-E-0009, or establish provider independence."}],"canonical_science":false}